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  1. #31
    Multitask's Avatar Contributor

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    Originally Posted by robotbear View Post
    flame war? what are you 12?

    trying to act big because you're a contributor or something? LOL :wave::wave::wave::wave::wave::wave::wave::wave::wave::wave::wave:
    yes i am trying to act big because i have a blue name on some wow website. and yet you keep commenting back, so you just contradicted your last post.

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  2. #32
    robotbear's Avatar Master Sergeant
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    Originally Posted by -Airwave- View Post
    yes i am trying to act big because i have a blue name on some wow website. and yet you keep commenting back, so you just contradicted your last post.
    Don't flatter yourself hun, I wouldn't waste my time flaming you.

  3. #33
    WaCk0's Avatar Active Member
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    Originally Posted by Drunk_Panda View Post
    1 time in a row: 5g - 66% lose chance
    2 times in a row: 10g - 43,56% lose chance
    3 times in a row: 20g - 28,75% lose chance
    4 times in a row: 40g - 18,97% lose chance
    5 times in a row: 80g - 12,52% lose chance
    6 times in a row: 160g - 8,27% lose chance
    7 times in a row: 320g - 5,46% lose chance
    This is where the numbers really start to add up
    8 times in a row: 640g - 3,60% lose chance
    9 times in a row: 1280g - 2,38% lose chance
    10 times in a row: 2560g - 1,57% lose chance (I have had countless of people lose this many times)
    11 times in a row: 5120g - 1,04% lose chance
    12 times in a row: 10240g - 0,68% lose chance
    Total loss at this point: 20475g = PROFIT
    At this point, most players are bankerrupt. Now, lets look at the percentage. There is a 0,68% chance that a player using the double bet system will lose 20475 gold if he starts off with 5g. Now, if you as the casino was sitting on lets say 50k gold. And lets say this dude wanted to play his 5g betting game until he won 1k. You can see for yourself that the odds really are not in his favor. He would have to win your casino TWOHUNDRED times for him to earn 1k gold. Now, 200 times with a 0,68% chance to lose 20475 gold for EACH 5 gold, does not seem very smart. I hope this explained why you want to play vs double betters.
    Actually the win chance will always be 34%, think of it as flipping a coin, 50-50% chance, although this does not mean should you flip the coin 2 times it will be 1 - 1 or if you flip the coin 200 times it will be 100 - 100.
    A coin doesn't have memory nor does the win chance on this lottery.
    it does mean that the more times you compete the higher the chance the percentage will come as close as possible to the 34% (so actually the more they play the more you win!)

    Just giving a heads up, furthermore nice guide for the people wanting to use this.
    Would use this if i weren't saving up cash to buy accounts and Gatherbuddy/Honorbuddy and start multi-botting

  4. #34
    Multitask's Avatar Contributor

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    Originally Posted by robotbear View Post
    Don't flatter yourself hun, I wouldn't waste my time flaming you.
    and yet you continue to reply. please stop spamming my inbox with your scrub replies.

  5. #35
    Drunk_Panda's Avatar Private
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    Originally Posted by WaCk0 View Post
    Actually the win chance will always be 34%, think of it as flipping a coin, 50-50% chance, although this does not mean should you flip the coin 2 times it will be 1 - 1 or if you flip the coin 200 times it will be 100 - 100.
    A coin doesn't have memory nor does the win chance on this lottery.
    it does mean that the more times you compete the higher the chance the percentage will come as close as possible to the 34% (so actually the more they play the more you win!)

    Just giving a heads up, furthermore nice guide for the people wanting to use this.
    Would use this if i weren't saving up cash to buy accounts and Gatherbuddy/Honorbuddy and start multi-botting
    I clearly state that the loss chance is 66% PER roll. However, the chance for a 66% loss twice, is 0.66 X 0.66 = 43.56%

  6. #36
    Inexx's Avatar Sergeant Major
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    Its much easier to get banned now. got banned for 2 hours and got my last warning.

  7. #37
    nitsuj1001's Avatar Corporal
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    thank you its a very nice guide ^^
    i have won 3k g in 1h this is brilliant
    Last edited by nitsuj1001; 05-10-2010 at 05:03 PM.

  8. #38
    rindy's Avatar Master Sergeant
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    Just got temp ban on US server

  9. #39
    Fap's Avatar Master Sergeant
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    thanks for the guide

  10. #40
    Multitask's Avatar Contributor

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    Originally Posted by rindy View Post
    Just got temp ban on US server
    if you would have read the comments, you would have seen you get banned for this.

  11. #41
    rindy's Avatar Master Sergeant
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    Originally Posted by -Airwave- View Post
    if you would have read the comments, you would have seen you get banned for this.
    yeah i knew i could, i was just stating

  12. #42
    lolwtfownd's Avatar Private
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    have to say, this worked great until i got a 3 hour temp ban as a warning, and after that blizzard removed the gold of the account :P though it didnt remove the gold i mailed over to my other acocunts

  13. #43
    Connactzor's Avatar Master Sergeant
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    Every person with a brain would never lose here. Example:

    You bet 5g, you lose
    Next up you bet 10g, you lose again
    Next up you bet 20g, you finaly win(40g)

  14. #44
    Iaccidentallytwink's Avatar Elite User
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    Originally Posted by Connactzor View Post
    Every person with a brain would never lose here. Example:

    You bet 5g, you lose
    Next up you bet 10g, you lose again
    Next up you bet 20g, you finaly win(40g)
    Might wanna recheck your math that's completely wrong. Your post is an example of Gambler's Fallacy.
    100(1 - (.66^x)) = Chance to win after x bets, assuming 33.33% chance to win each time.

    Playing 3 times only gives you a 71% chance to win.
    Last edited by Iaccidentallytwink; 06-27-2010 at 10:11 PM.

  15. #45
    Cylonius's Avatar Member
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    Actually, any person that has gone through grade 11 math would know that the percent chance of winning never changes. There is never a 100% of winning at a certain point in time. Its always random. You just keep losing until you win or winning till you lose which could be the next time. For example:

    Win
    Lose
    Lose
    Win
    Win
    Lose
    Win
    Lose

    And you can still do this as long as you do not advertise. You cannot get a friend to advertise either. You just have to sit and wait for someone to ask. Or Create a guild name that makes reference to your name. Casino <Whisper for Rules>. My casino is still going. No I'm not gold capped or anything, but I have made enough to not worry about repairs and buy some mounts(Bike and Travelers Tundra Mammoth). Don't expect instant gratification when you do this. Good things come to those who wait.

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